In a survey, Jorge Macri he gets 5 points from Martin Lousteau. In another, the one who prevails is the radical senator, but with a shorter gap. And in a third, there is a triple technical draw in Together for Change between these two candidates for head of government and Fernan Quiros. This is how hot the fight is in the City for the succession of Horacio Rodríguez Larreta.
The studies that he advances Clarion this Saturday they are from circuits, Opinion Argentina and CB Public Opinion Consultant. They measured the PASO scenario for the election in CABA. and all the spotlights they focus on JvCbecause it is almost certainly presumed that from there the next Buenos Aires mayor will emerge.
polls They also get into the internship of the Frente de Todoswith a couple of applicants, and they evaluate the other crack, left and right, libertarians vs. the FIT, with a short offer.
Survey 1: Jorge Macri up
circuits It is a small consultant, but for several years it has been measuring for politics and electoral processes. It is directed by the analyst Paul Roma and his studies tend to circulate more in K and left-wing areas.
Between March 13 and 14 they carried out a survey of 1,196 phone cases and presented the results with +/- 3.5% margin of error.
In addition by space, the preeminence of Together for Change. In this case they add up 49.5%with Jorge Macri above (23.4%), followed by Lousteau (18.3%), and with Quirós (6.9%) and Soledad Acuna (0.9%) away.
Jorge Macri tells the fundamental support of his cousin Mauricio and he also added photos with Patricia Bullrich, head of the party and Larreta’s tough rival in the presidential internship. With the head of government, the relationship of the former minister of Vicente López broke down precisely from that political photo.
In Larretismo they do not forgive Jorge Macri for having posed with Bullrich, when the leader holds a position in the City, as Minister of Government, from the 2021 agreement to get off in the Province. “We paid him with that and then he betrayed us”summarizes a larretista.
The truth is that Larreta refused to explicitly and solely support his minister, and was (and is) very close to Lousteau, which irritates the Macri. In parallel, the head of government promoted other applicants for his succession, such as Quirós, Acuña and legislator Emmanuel Ferrario. Complex and open fight in the mother district of the PRO.
Going back to the numbers circuitsin the sum per space below JxC comes the front of all with lean 21 points. They result from 16.3% of the deputies Leandro Santoro (which topped the CABA list in 2021) and the 4.7% of Matthias Lammens, the current Minister of Tourism of the Nation, who had surprised in 2019 with a record election for head of government. Other times.
Down the crack complete the legislators Ramiro Marra (libertarian, ally of Javier Milei) with 12.9% and gabriel solano (of the Partido Obrero, within the Left Front) with 6.1%. The total closes with a 10.5% of “none”.
Poll 2: Martin Lousteau up
Opinion Argentina is a consultant that works for both sides of the gap, with clients such as Juan Manzur and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, as well as Axel Kicillof, to cite just three very dissimilar examples. It is directed by the analyst Facundo Nejamkisformer official in the government of Cristina Kirchner.
From February 25 to 27, he surveyed 800 cases (700 by telephone and 100 in person) and presented the results with +/- 3% margin of error.
In the report, he presented two electoral cadres for the head of government fight. In the first, it asked for space. And there, Together for Change maintained its wide advantage over the Frente de Todos: 47% to 22%. Third come the libertarians with 17% and fourth closes the left front with 4%. They completed “undecided” 4%, “other” 4% and “white” 2%.
Then, he does his evaluation in primaries, but with a limited offer in JxC. Lousteau vs. Jorge Macri hand in hand, and the economist from Evolución is up 25% to 23%.
inside of front of all, Santoro again prevails over Lammens (15% to 8%); the libertarian marra ends with eleven%; and Myriam Bregmannfrom the PTS and as an offer from the FIT, take out 4%. In this case, “undecided” 7%, “white” 4% and “other” 3% close.
Poll 3: triple tie in Together for Change
CB Public Opinion Consultant It is one of the pollsters that has grown the most in recent years. directed by the analyst Cristian Buttie, is characterized by its federal measurements, district by district. Thus, for example, it began to publish an interesting ranking of governors in May 2020. Among its clients, the firm makes measurements for the government of Córdoba (the Peronist Juan Schiaretti) and the Buenos Aires government of Larreta.
Regarding the poll for head of government (1,015 online cases, with +/- 3.15% margin of error), also evaluated the STEP scenario. and he gave himself a particular technical tie between Jorge Macri (18.3%), Lousteau (17.2%) and Quirós (16.6%). When you add the 1% of Acuna, Together for Change stays with 53 points.
In it front of allthere are similar numbers between Santoro (15.9%) and Lammens (6.8%)with 22.7 points in total.
Those who appear most relegated here are marraof the libertarians, with 7.1%; and solanoof the FIT, with 1.6%. They complete “blank” 4.9% and “I don’t know” 10.7%.
