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Ballot in Chile: in an uncertain scenario, Gabriel Boric takes advantage in the latest polls

It is not news that in Chile the unknown has become the trend when it comes to the results of this Sunday’s ballot. However, new polls to which Clarion had access this Friday they confirm that the candidate of the left, Gabriel Boric, managed to capitalize on his good performance in the presidential debate last Monday, breaking the upward trend shown by José Antonio Kast, the ultra-conservative candidate with whom he disputes the presidency.

During the last three days, and while in Chile there is a ban that prevents the dissemination of surveys, internal polls by the government and private consulting firms show a upturn of the candidate on the left, since during the last week Kast had managed to achieve it in different measurements.

The campaign teams were concerned about how much the presidential debate on Monday, broadcast by the four main television stations in the country, could have had an impact, especially since the conclusion was that Boric had managed to project a more solid image during the forum.

And the results came. The Atlas Intel pollster shows, when the election is two days away, 51% of the options in favor of Boric and 49% of the preferences for Kast.

A break that occurred during this week, because on Tuesday the consolidated results gave a 50% intention for each candidate. However, the two points of difference are within the margin of error.

Preparations in a school in Santiago for the election this Sunday. Photo: AFP

The survey commissioned by the government of Sebastián Piñera from the Universidad del Desarrollo, which was confirmed to Clarion by a Minister of State.

According to that survey, Boric could lead Kast by up to 8 points, that is, 54% against 46%, which would mean a distance of about 400,000 votes.

However, from the Chilean government house they point out that said survey does not consult in vast sectors of the north of the country, where the immigration issue could tip the balance in favor of the candidate of the conservative Republican Party. In that case, the result would be narrower, although the polls also indicate that Boric rose after Monday.

Jose Antonio Kast, the right-wing candidate for the presidency of Chile, at his campaign close.  Photo: BLOOMBERG

Jose Antonio Kast, the right-wing candidate for the presidency of Chile, at his campaign close. Photo: BLOOMBERG

Other versions

In José Antonio Kast’s bunker, however, those close to the candidate affirm that “the polls are erratic” and that, in their polls, which they say were very accurate in the first round even at the parliamentary level, his standard-bearer leads Gabriel Boric by three points difference.

Since Thursday at midnight, when the campaigns ended, absolute electoral silence has been in force in Chile. Candidates cannot campaign or call for a public vote for either option.

On Friday, the candidates made limited public appearances, while their teams turned to the recruitment and training of prosecutors, a function that could become vital this Sunday if the result is very narrow.

During this Friday the Armed Forces took control of the security of the schools and voting centers to allow the Electoral Service to deploy the operation and install the nearly 46,000 voting tables where Chileans will assist in electing their new president.

Santiago, special

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